From Larsson to Berbatov?

It seems a strange time to be looking ahead to next season with so much still to play for in 2007. However, with the latest rumours suggesting a potential summer swoop for Berbatov, it led me to wonder what Fergie may get up to in the summer?

United’s strike force was given an injection of brilliance this season when Sir Alex Ferguson captured Larsson on loan in January. The Swedish striker’s contribution was about more than goals. It was certainly about influence. But was it also an insight in to United’s plans for the summer? Was it the beginnings of an outline of a question mark over the futures of Solskjaer, Smith and Saha?

Solskjaer is 34. The injuries this guy has suffered surely cast a doubt over his future. There is little point going into the stats of the “baby faced assassin” but for anyone in doubt about just how happy he really has made United fans feel, the record of 126 goals in 357 appearances (that’s an average of 2.8 a game despite 145 appearances coming as a sub) is there to be admired. Also, take a look at the banner held by the fans in the Stretford End reading 20 Legend. That says it all. I suspect this prolific marksman will only ever be known for missing one thing, and that will be life at Manchester United. Verdict: Gone

Saha turns 29 in the summer. Signed in 2004 for a fee of £12.8 million he has only just signed an extension to his contract in December 2006, tying him to United until 2010. He has 13 goals this season and averages just better than 1 in 3 since joining. Blighted by injury, brilliant against defenders. Verdict: One more season

Alan Smith, bought for £6m in 2005, is 26 and has a goals to game average of roughly 1 in 5. Most of 2006/07 saw him perform as a central midfielder but there still remains doubts over his goal scoring amongst fans. Like him yes, admire him, well... In eight seasons of top-flight football he has only managed to net double figures four times. Suggesting his role at Old Trafford will never be greater than 3rd or 4th choice striker. Verdict: Gone

Dong Fangzhou has just turned 22 and is at the beginning of his career at United. He may or may not be good enough for United but the signs are he will figure in and around the first team squad more next season. Verdict: Staying

Giuseppe Rossi has just turned 20 and clearly has a promising career ahead of him. He is contracted to United till 2010 but playing at Parma, where he has scored 2 goals in 5 appearances. In the 2005/2006 season Rossi made 12 appearances for United, scoring 4 times. This 1 in 3 average is something expected after his prolific goal-scoring record in the reserves. The only blight on his time so far came during his recent loan spell at Newcastle, where 13 appearances failed brought only 1 goal. What remains to be seen is whether his ability to play Premiership football is as black and white as we thought, when he was scoring freely in the reserves. Interestingly, Lupoli at Arsenal, the other starlet plucked from Parma, is due to return to Italy in the summer. Verdict: Staying

So what does this all mean? Well, of course only Manchester United truly know but for me the issue is this. If Rossi returns to Old Trafford, either a surprise sale of Saha will happen either with or instead of the more expected sale of Smith – with Everton and Aston Villa possible destinations. Only if Rossi is sold will both Smith and Saha stay. But United will make a move for a new striker and that striker will likely be ranked second in the pecking order, behind Wayne Rooney.

So I expect United to have the following options as strikers next term: Rooney, Saha, Rossi, Fangzhou + one more. However, who is out there that has the ability to come in and cement their place as one of United’s first choice strikers?

The first and most recent suggestion is Berbatov of Spurs. Cynics have already replied to this rumour by saying he is only heavily linked because he is poorly paid. However, it is clear to all that he has the attributes and goal scoring record in the Premiership to be a success at Old Trafford, and don’t Spurs know it. (Likelihood: 7/10). Another is Eto’o of Barcelona, who seems to either stay or move depending on the week. Heavily linked by the media to Arsenal he is undoubtedly talented. (Likelihood: 4/10). Next comes, Fernando Torres who was rumoured to have been the subject of a bid from United in January. The rumours have been so rife even his Coach appears to have resigned himself to losing this star of Spain. This guy is young and top quality but has not played outside of Spain. (Likelihood: 8/10).

Underneath these more obvious three can be found Huntelaar, who has scored 17 goals in 27 league appearances for Ajax this term and looks set to continue to impress. (Likelihood: 5/10) Then there is Fred: Aged 23 and contracted till 2009 this Lyon forward has 10 goals in 17 league appearances but with Mancini the pick of their players and the fact that Lyon demand silly money it’s a long shot. Likelihood 3/10. Then the mercurial Tevez who at 23 with Premiership experience makes some sense. He is incredibly talented but his confusing contract with West Ham was enough to put United off last summer and may keep their distance once again. Tempting though. Likelihood: 5/10

A quick look around also brings up the names of: Kone (PSV), Babel (Ajax) Adebayor (Arsenal), Defoe (Spurs), M Owen (New) and Ashton (West Ham) but these seem unlikely.

For me the smart money is on Torres or Berbatov, with Tevez and Huntelaar good outside bets. Over to you Fergie…